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Prognostic Significance of P21 Protein in Breast Cancer Cover

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INTRODUCTION

Breast cancer (IBC) is the most common malignancy (30% of all new tumor cases) and the second leading cause of tumor death in women (15% of all tumor deaths) (1) and is an important public health problem worldwide. In 2020, there were 2.3 million cases of illness and 685.000 deaths (2). In the Republic of Serbia, about 4.000 newly discovered cases of this disease are registered every year, which represents more than a quarter of all malignant diseases in women, with most European countries showing a decreasing trend in mortality from breast cancer, while Serbia, Poland and Romania have recorded less in the last period as well favorable trends. Thus, in 2017, the highest mortality rates were recorded in Serbia (20.6/100.000 women) (3).

In the past two decades, new therapies, such as immunotherapy and targeted therapies have emerged as a result of the discovery of new molecules and signaling pathways involved in breast cancer proliferation. However, a significant proportion of patients remain resistant to therapy or relapse, indicating an incomplete understanding of cancer metabolism (4). Bearing in mind these circumstances, a review of new molecular mechanisms underlying breast cancer progression, resistance and various aspects of existing therapeutic methods would lead to new insights for biologists and clinicians. In this regard, we conducted a study covering recent advances in breast cancer biology with a focus on the p21 protein.

p21, a 21 KDa protein encoded by the CDKN1A gene, is a member of the Cip/Kip family of CDKIs in addition to p27 and p57. p21 is the first discovered transcriptional target of the p53 protein. It is capable of inactivating all CDKs, thereby inhibiting cell cycle progression (5). It inhibits the kinase activity of the cyclin-CDK complex by interacting with cyclins via two cyclin binding motifs (Cy1 and Cy2). This leads to inhibition of phosphorylation of the pRb family of proteins and subsequent association with E2F and formation of the DREAM complex, leading to cell cycle arrest (6, 7). p21 plays a dual role in cell cycle progression depending on its expression level (8). High levels of p21 inhibit the kinase activity of the cyclin-CDK complex leading to inhibition of cell cycle progression, while low levels act as a factor in the formation of the cyclin D/CDK4,6 complex and promote its activation leading to cell cycle progression (9). Despite its role in arresting cell proliferation and its ability to promote differentiation and cell senescence, recent studies suggest that under certain conditions p21 can promote cell proliferation and oncogenicity (10). Accordingly, p21 is often misregulated in human cancers, but its expression, depending on the cellular context and circumstances, suggests that it may act as a tumor suppressor or as an oncogene (10).These conflicting observations have undoubtedly increased the importance of p21 in the field of tumor biology. Moreover, to date, no consensus has been reached on the relationship between p21 and clinicopathological parameters, and the characteristics of p21 expression and its clinical/prognostic significance in human breast cancer remain unclear.

Since the data of previous researches were different, and also there is no consensus and clear guidelines regarding the use of p21 expression in routine clinical diagnosis of breast cancer, we conducted this study to analyze the expression of p21 in IBC, but also in non-invasive breast lesions (NIL) with the aim of determining whether p21 is a useful adjunctive tool for distinguishing between NIL and IBC.

Furthermore, we examined the possible correlation of this marker with the clinicopathological characteristics of IBC as a possible link with its progression.

MATERIAL AND METHODS
Study Design

The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki, approved by the decision of the Ethics Committee number 01/17/2290, included 147 patients with a diagnosis of breast cancer, who were diagnosed and treated at the University Clinical Center Kragujevac, Serbia in the period from 2012 to 2017.

Pathohistological analysis of tumors on H&E stained specimens was performed on the operative material obtained by tumerectomy, quadrantectomy and/or mastectomy with dissection of regional lymph nodes (11).

The presence of non-invasive lesions (NIL) [in situ lobular and ductal carcinoma (ISC), lobular and ductal atypical hyperplasia (AH) and normal ductal and acinar epithelium (NE)] was noted in each IBC and surrounding tissue. Based on microscopic analysis, IBCs were classified into three groups: ductal, lobular, and a group of other histological types. E-cadherin expression differentiated ductal from lobular breast cancer. At the same time, all relevant macroscopic, pathohistological and prognostic parameters (tumor size, histological type and grade, nodal status, presence of necrosis, intra and peritumoral mononuclear infiltrate, perineural, lymphatic and vascular invasion, molecular subtype IBC and disease stage) were defined (12).

IBCs are classified according to the recommendations into four molecular groups: Luminal A, Luminal B, HER2 + and TNBC (13).

Immunohistochemical (IHC) procedure

Tissue sections were fixed in 10% Neutral Buffered and stabilized formalin solution, pH 7.0 and embedded into paraffin. IHC was performed on a tissue section of a representative paraffin block of each patient. Tissue sections 4 μm thick were applied to adherent slides (SuperFrost® Plus, VWR, Leuven, Belgium), then deparaffinized in xylene and rehydrated in decreasing alcohol concentrations. After epitope retrieval, endogenous peroxidase was blocked with 3% hydrogen peroxide for 5 minutes. The preparations were incubated with primary monoclonal and polyclonal antibodies at room temperature for the recommended duration. The following antibodies were used, ready for use or in appropriate dilution: p21WAF1/CIP1 (SX118, 1:50, M7202, DAKO, Denmark), mAb ER (1D5, RTU, IR657, DAKO, Denmark), mAb PR (PgR636, RTU, IR068, DAKO, Denmark), pAb HER2 (1:1200, AO485, DAKO, Denmark), Ki67 (1:200, MIB-1, IR626, DAKO, Denmark). After washing the primary antibody, tissue sections were incubated with commercial biotinized secondary antibody at room temperature, for the recommended duration (En Vision FLEX HRP, RTU, K8000). The IHC reaction was visualized using 3,3′-diaminobenzidine tetrahydrochloride (DAB). The preparations were finally contrasted with Mayer's hematoxylin (Hematoxylin M, HEMM-OT-1L, Biognost, Croatia), and the coverslips were mounted with Canada balsam. Tissue samples in which incubation with the primary antibody was omitted were used as negative controls of the IHC reaction, and IBCs with known expression of the analyzed markers were used as positive controls. Slides were analyzed at 100x, 200x, and 400x magnifications, using a light microscope (AxioScop 40, Carl Zeiss, Germany). Representative sections were photographed using a digital camera (AxioCam ICc1, Carl Zeiss, Germany).

Evaluation of IHC Staining

Immunohistochemical stains were rated by two independent pathologists, who were blinded to clinical follow-up data at the time of analysis. In cases of differently assessed expression, agreement was reached by joint analysis of the preparation and consultation with a third pathologist.

Analysis of estrogene (ER) and progesterone receptors (PR) expression was performed using Allred score (14) as the sum of the percentage of positive nuclei of tumor cells and the intensity of IHC staining. The Allred score ranges from 0 to 8.

The expression of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) was analyzed based on standard recommendations (15). Depending on the continuity and intensity of membrane staining, all IBCs were classified into HER2 negative (0 and 1+) and HER2 positive (3+). Equivocal HER2 (2+) was retested by silver in situ hybridization (SISH) technique after which patients were classified as HER2 positive or negative IBCs.

Ki67 IHC expression was defined as the percentage of positive tumor cells per 100 counted in the zone of highest tumor proliferation. According to the previously defined limit value of Ki67 expression in our laboratory, IBCs are classified into 3 groups: low (Ki67 <15%), medium (Ki67: 15–30%) and high proliferative activity (Ki67> 30%) (16, 17).

p21 expression was determined as the percentage of nuclear expression in IBC and NIL epithelial cells. By analyzing the expression, we defined the cut off value for p21. Based on the obtained result, we divided all IBCs into p21 positive and p21 negative

Statistical data processing

The commercial software package SPSS (version 22.0, SRSS Inc., Chicago, IL) was used for statistical processing of the data obtained. In the analysis of the obtained results we used: descriptive statistics methods, Man-Whitney test, Kruskal-Wallis test, χ2 test, Pearson or Spearman correlation coefficient, ROC curve (with determination of cut off value, sensitivity and specificity). By determining the sensitivity and specificity of the test, the level of practical reliability of statistical analysis was determined. All reported p values were 2-sided and p < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

The experimental research group included 147 women diagnosed with IBC, average age 58, with the youngest patient being 29 and the oldest 84. In 79 patients, in situ carcinoma (ISC) was present simultaneously with IBC, in 82 atypical hyperplasia (AH), and in 109 cases, fields of glandular parenchyma without signs of epithelial proliferation and atypia were noted (NE - normal epithelium of ducts and acini). The average size of the cancer was 22.5 mm (the smallest 9 mm and the largest 68 mm).The average expression of estrogene receptors is 54.27±35.48%, while the average expression of progesterone receptors is 34.49±34.43. Presented through the Allred score, the average value of the score for estrogens was 5.36±3.17 and for progesterone 3.92±3.21. Other clinicopathological characteristics of IBC are shown in Table 1.

Table 1.

Clinicopathological characteristics of breast cancer

VariablesN%
Sideleft6644.9
right8155.1
Histological typelobular1812.4
ductal12384.8
other42.8
Histological gradeHG11711.9
HG27351
HG35337.1
Nuclear gradeNG11715.2
NG26457.1
NG33127.7
Mitotic indexgrade 11942.2
grade 22044.4
grade 3613.3
Tumor necrosisabsent2621.7
present9478.3
Desmoplasialow1716.3
medium5552.9
high3230.8
Periductal elastosislow1920.0
medium2044.4
high1635.6
Perineural invasionabsent10168.7
present4631.3
Lymphatic invasionabsent7248.9
present7551.1
Vascular invasionabsent11376.9
present3423.1
HER2negative11579.3
positive3020.7
Ki67low3020..9
medium4229.4
high7149.7
Molecular subtypesLum A3020.4
Lum B7651.7
HER2 +1912.9
TNBC2215
T statusT14835.8
T26447.8
T396.7
T4139.7
N statusN05037.3
N14835.8
N21914.2
N31712.7
Expression of p21 in relation to cytological changes in epithelium

The average value of p21 expression was calculated, and a statistically significant increase was observed with increasing invasiveness (in NE 2%, in AH 7%, in ISC 11% and in IBC 23%) (Kruskal-Wallis, p<0.001). A statistically significant difference was absent only in the case of the comparison of the ISC and AH groups (Mann-Whitney U, p=0.06), while this difference was shown between all other groups (Figure 1A).Immunohistochemical expression of p21 in different histo- and cytomorphological changes is shown in Figure 1B-E.

Figure 1.

Expression of p21 in relation to cytological changes in the epithelium. A.

A statistically significant difference was observed between each of the mentioned groups except between the ISC and AH groups (Mann Whitney U, p=0.06). The result is shown as the median. Microscopic image of p21 expression in various histo and cytomorphological changes: B. IBC. C. ISC. D. AH. E. NE (immunohistochemical analysis, original magnification 200x).

A strong positive correlation was found between p21 expression in all mentioned changes (Spearman ρ). With the increase in p21 expression in IBC cells, the expression in NIL cells also increases (Figure 2). Also, the increase in p21 expression in ISCs was accompanied by an increase in AH and NE. With increasing expression in AH, expression in NE also increases.

Figure 2.

Correlation of p21 expression between groups in relation to cytological changes in the epithelium (Spearman ρ).

A strong positive correlation was found between all groups: A. IBC and ISC (p<0.001, ρ=0.709), B. IBC and AH (p<0.001, ρ=0.726), C. IBC and NE (p<0.001, ρ=0.701), D. ISC and AH (p<0.001, ρ=0.833), E. ISC and NE (p<0.001, ρ=0.798) and F. AH and NE (p<0.001, ρ=0.905).

Expression of p21 in tumor cells in relation to the molecular subtype of IBC

When looking at the expression of p21 in relation to the molecular subtypes of IBC, a statistically significant difference was observed among the different subtypes (Kruskal-Wallis, p=0.004). The highest expression was observed in the HER2+ subtype of IBC. In relation to the HER2+ subtype of IBC, molecular subtypes Lum B and Lum A had a statistically significantly lower value of p21 expression, while the lowest value was recorded in TNBC (Figure 3).

Figure 3.

Expression of p21 in different molecular subtypes of IBC.

A statistically significant difference was shown between the following groups: Lum A and Lum B (Mann-Whitney U, p=0.021), Lum A and HER2 (Mann-Whitney U, p<0.00), Lum B and HER2 (Mann-Whitney U, p=0.048), HER2 and TNBC (Mann-Whitney U, p=0.006). The result is presented as median.

Statistically significantly higher values of p21 expression were observed in those IBCs that showed overexpression of HER2 compared to HER2-negative tumors. Depending on Ki67 expression, the highest p21 expression is in the group with high Ki67 expression values (Figure 4).

Figure 4.

p21 expression depending on Ki67 expression and HER2 expression.

A. p21 expression in tumor cells depends on Ki67 expression. The result is shown as the median (Kruskal-Wallis, p=0.019). B. There is a significant difference in p21 expression depending on HER2 expression. The result is shown as the median (Mann Whitney U, p=0.001).

In relation to the nuclear grade, a statistically significantly higher expression of p21 was shown in IBCs of nuclear grade 3 compared to nuclear grades 1 and 2. Also, IBCs belonging to the T4 group, in relation to the T status, had a significantly higher expression in relation toto groups T1 and T2 (Figure 5).

Figure 5.

Expression of p21 depending on expression of nuclear grade and T status.

Expression of p21 in tumor cells depends on A. nuclear grade (Kruskal-Wallis, p=0.026) and B. T status (Kruskal-Wallis, p=0.05). The result is shown as the median.

When the expression of p21 was observed in relation to the expression of receptors for estrogens and progesterone, it was observed that with the increase in the expression of p21 in IBC, the expression of receptors for estrogens and progesterone decreases significantly (Spearman ρ) (Figure 6).

Figure 6.

Expression of p21 depending on the expression of ER and PR.

The expression of ER and PR was analyzed through the Allred score. The increase in p21 expression in tumor cells was accompanied by a statistically significantly reduced expression of A. ER (p=0.015, ρ=−0.225) and B. PR (p=0.027, ρ=−0.205) (small negative correlation).

Expression of p21 as a marker of breast cancer progression

By analyzing the expression of p21, it was shown that its increase can be a marker of breast cancer progression, with an expression value of 7.5% as a treshold value, with a sensitivity of 64.4% and a specificity of 72.9% (AUC=0.712, p<0.001) (Figure 7).

Figure 7.

ROC curve of p21 expression in NIL and IBC.

The calculated value of AUC=0.712 with a sensitivity of 64.4% and a specificity of 64.4% determined a threshold value of 7.5%.

Using the obtained threshold value, all IBCs were further divided into two groups: negative whose p21 expression value was ≤7.5%, and positive whose p21 expression was >7.5% (Figure 8A).The immunohistochemical expression of p21 relative to the threshold value is shown in Figure 8B-C.

Figure 8.

A. Frequency of p21+ and p21IBC in relation to the treshold value of p21 expression.

Microscopic image of p21 expression in relation to the threshold value: B. p21+ and C. p21− (immunohistochemical analysis, original magnification 200x).

A statistically significant association with the molecular subtype of IBC as well as with HER2 expression was demonstrated. A significant difference in the percentage of IBC molecular subtypes can be observed in the HER2+ subtype, where 19.7% are p21 positive, while no p21 negative IBC belongs to the HER2+ molecular subtype. Also, when looking at HER2 status, it was found that all IBCs that were negative in relation to p21 expression were also HER2 negative, while 33.8% of p21 positive ones were HER2 positive. Other clinicopathological characteristics did not show a statistically significant association (Table 2).

Table 2.

Association between p21 expression in IBC and examined clinicopathological characteristics.

Variablesp21 cut off 7.5%Chi-Squarep
+
Mononuclear infiltrateabsent1 (9.1%)3 (5.8%)0.6660.881
low4 (36.4%)20 (38.5%)
medium5 (45.5%)20 (38.5%)
high1 (9.1%)9 (17.3%)
Histological typelobular1 (6.7%)5 (6.7%)0.6220.733
ductal14 (93.3)67 (89.3)
other0 (0.0%)3 (4.0%)
Histological gradeHG12 (12.5%)8 (11.0%)0.3640.834
HG27 (43.8%)38 (52.1%)
HG37 (43.8%)27 (37.0)
Nuclear gradeNG10 (0.0%)6 (9.7%)2.0960.351
NG27 (53.8%)37 (59.7%)
NG36 (46.2%)19 (30.6%)
Tumor necrosisabsent2 (15.4%)17 (27.0%)0.2780.598
present11 (84.6%)46 (73.0%)
Perineural invasionabsent13 (81.3%)49 (64.5%)1.0150.314
present3 (18.8)27 (35.5%)
Lymphatic invasionabsent5 (31.3%)37 (48.7%)0.9930.319
present11 (68.8%)39 (51.3%)
Vascular invasionabsent12 (75.0%)57 (75.0%)0.0001.000
present4 (25.0%)19 (25.0%)
Molecular subtypesLum A1 (6.3%)10 (13.2%)11.4900.009
Lum B8 (50.0%)42 (55.3%)
HER2 +0 (0.0%)15 (19.7%)
TNBC7 (43.8%)9 (11.8%)
HER2negative16 (100.0%)49 (66.2%)5.8950.015
positive0 (0.0%)25 (33.8%)
Ki67low2 (13.3%)10 (13.5%)1.0750.584
medium6 (40.0%)20 (27.0%)
high7 (46.7%)44 (59.5)
T statusT13 (20.0%)22 (32.4%)2.9240.404
T29 (60.0%)34 (50.0%)
T32 (13.3%)3 (4.4%)
T41 (6.7%)9 (13.2%)
N statusN04 (26.7%)23 (33.3%)1.5040.681
N18 (53.3%)26 (37.7%)
N21 (6.7%)10 (14.5%)
N32 (13.3%)10 (14.5%)
DISCUSSION

Although extensive research related to breast cancer has been conducted in recent years, there is still a need to understand the basic aspect of tumorigenesis. Cell cycle control proteins are known to play an important role in the pathogenesis of breast cancer (18). Each phase of the cell cycle is strictly regulated in normal cells. However, upon exposure to mitogenic stimuli, these regulatory components become deregulated, which predisposes to cellular transformation of breast epithelial cells. Numerous studies have implicated roles for oncogenic and tumor-suppressive components in various types of human cancers, including breast cancer initiation and development (19,20,21). p21 was initially considered a tumor suppressor protein because it was recognized as a major mediator of cell cycle arrest. Conversely, it has been proposed that p21 may also function as an oncogene because it can inhibit apoptosis. Therefore, p21 is considered a dual-behavior protein, as its expression can cause potential benefits or harmful effects in breast cancer (22).

We calculated the average value of p21 expression in different breast lesions and found that the highest expression was in IBC and gradually decreased from ISC, through AH to NE. Identical results were obtained by Wei et al., i.e. showed that p21 protein was highly expressed in cancer samples, compared to normal breast tissue (23). In the same study, they showed that p21 protein expression is significantly associated with larger tumor diameter, higher grade, and lymph node metastases, which indicates a poor prognosis of the disease. Other authors have also shown that the level of p21 expression is significantly elevated in patients with breast cancer compared to patients with benign breast lesions (24,25,26,27,28). Zohny et al showed that p21 expression was associated with histological grade 3 tumors and the presence of lymph node metastases, which together indicate that high expression of this marker is associated with advanced breast cancer (25). Barbareschi examined the expression of p21 in changes in the breast and came to the results that show a gradual increase in the expression of this marker from normal epithelium, through well-differentiated and then poorly differentiated ISC to IBC where the expression was also the highest (26). Furthermore, high expression was accompanied by high histological grade, but there was no correlation with other investigated clinicopathological characteristics of the tumor. If the role of p21 is only inhibition of the cyclin/CDK complex, which is required for the transition from G1 to S, and inhibition of DNA replication, high expression of p21 could result in reduced cell proliferation. However, in our study, p21 was significantly increased in IBC compared to NIL. We can explain this by the presence of mutated non-functional forms of p21. Balbin et al investigated p21 in 36 primary breast cancers and found a mutation in this molecule due to the replacement of arginine with tryptophan (p21R94W) (29). This mutation was attributed to a tumor-specific change, as it was not observed in DNA extracted from peripheral blood cells of the same patient. Functional analysis of the p21R94W protein produced in different expression systems revealed that this mutation causes an impairment in the ability of p21 to inhibit cyclinA/CDK2, cyclinB/CDK1, cyclinD/CDK4, and cyclinD1/CDK6. These data suggest that the p21R94W protein may participate in breast carcinogenesis because it cannot inhibit a number of cyclin/CDK complexes. Differences in p21 expression were also observed in changes in other organs. Thus, strong positive nuclear staining with p21 was observed in full-thickness epithelium in squamous cell carcinoma, while in keratoacanthoma it was limited to the peripheral and suprabasal layers. Both the level and intensity of staining for p21 were higher in squamous cell carcinoma compared to keratoacanthoma (30).

We showed the association of p21 expression with high nuclear grade and larger tumor diameter and tumors in T4 disease status, high Ki67 proliferative index, positive HER2 status and negative ER and PR. Others obtained similar results and showed that overexpression of p21 is associated with positive nodal status, larger tumor diameter, and worse prognosis in breast cancer patients (31). The association of high p21 expression with high proliferative activity is particularly interesting in the context of our research. Increased cell proliferation in p21 positive cases has been previously described (32). High p21 expression in highly proliferative cells may reflect failed attempts to arrest proliferation. This may result from the presence of other cell cycle regulatory pathways, which bypass the p21-mediated cell cycle block, such as c-Myc or B-Myb (33, 34). In addition, overexpression of CDK2 and cyclin A has been reported to reverse the inhibitory effect of high p21 expression (35, 36). Mutation of the retinoblastoma protein (pRb) can also lead to increased expression of p21 via deregulation of the transcription factor E2F-1 (37, 38).

By analyzing the molecular subtypes of breast cancer, we found that p21 expression was highest in the HER2 positive subtype of IBC. This is further supported by the fact that p21 expression was highest in HER2 overexpressing tumors. Others have found that HER2 overexpression positively correlates with p21 in breast tumors and that there is a significant correlation of p21 positivity with worse disease-free survival (39). Studies have shown that in breast cancer cells, HER2 can contribute to the translocation of p21 from the nucleus to the cytoplasm, resulting in the loss of its tumor suppressor function (40). There is increasing evidence that the function of p21 is related to its localization in cells. When localized in the cytoplasm, p21 functions as an oncogene, thus promoting cell proliferation and progression through the cell cycle, while nuclear localization of p21 is involved in prodifferentiation and senescence-promoting effects (40, 41).

CONCLUSION

Our results confirmed that increased expression of p21 may indicate malignant transformation of breast changes and progression of IBC. The treshold value of p21-positive tumor cells allows the separation of patients with NIL from those with IBC, so IHC analysis of p21 expression can be used as an additional diagnostic test in separating benign from malignant changes in the breast. Such observations may recommend this marker for use in diagnostic purposes.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/sjecr-2023-0005 | Journal eISSN: 2956-2090 | Journal ISSN: 2956-0454
Language: English
Page range: 275 - 286
Submitted on: Mar 28, 2023
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Accepted on: Apr 13, 2023
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Published on: Feb 23, 2026
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2026 Dalibor Jovanovic, Slobodanka Mitrovic, Dzemila Alic, Danijela Besic, Dragan Knezevic, Jelena Dimitrijevic, Milena Ilic, published by University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Medical Sciences
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.