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Brexit and the European National Health Service England Workforce: A Quantitative Analysis of Doctors’ Perceived Professional Impact and Intentions to Leave the United Kingdom Cover

Brexit and the European National Health Service England Workforce: A Quantitative Analysis of Doctors’ Perceived Professional Impact and Intentions to Leave the United Kingdom

Open Access
|Jun 2021

Figures & Tables

Table 1

Descriptive statistics.

WEIGHTED PROPORTION/MEANUNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE
Intentions to leave
    Leaving7%8
    Considering45%30
    Remaining48%21
Brexit impact
    No impact53%25
    Impact47%34
Sex
    Female50%37
    Male50%22
Years lived in UK
    <515%9
    5–1018%11
    10–2035%25
    20+33%14
Grade level
    Consultant48%22
    Specialty doctor8%19
    Other44%18
Age
    Mean [SE]38.9 [0.9]59
Brexit effects scale
    Mean [SE]40.1 [4.5]59
British identity scale
    Mean [SE]35.3 [3.2]59
European identity scale
    Mean [SE]80.1 [2.5]59
Table 2

Multivariate regression results from both models.

VARIABLESMODEL 1
(MULTINOMIAL LOGISTIC REGRESSION)
MODEL 2
(LOGISTIC REGRESSION)
LEAVING VS. REMAININGCONSIDERING VS. REMAININGIMPACT OF BREXIT
Sex
      Female  ref.  ref.  ref.
  ref.  ref.  ref.
      Male  –6.7***  –0.7–0.2
  (1.5)  (0.9)  (1.0)
  Years lived in UK
      <5  ref.  ref.  ref.
  ref.  ref.  ref.
      5–10  13.7***  6.8**  4.6***
  (3.4)  (3.2)  (1.4)
      10-20  11.8***  3.7**  3.7**
  (2.4)  (1.6)  (1.4)
      20+–26.0***  0.3  0.6
  (3.5)  (1.2)  (1.2)
  Grade level
      Consultant  ref.  ref.  ref.
  ref.  ref.  ref.
      Specialty doctor  6.0**  8.3***  5.9***
  (2.7)  (2.3)  (1.8)
      Other  9.4***  4.1***  4.3**
  (2.1)  (1.4)  (1.7)
Age  0.7***  0.2***  0.2***
  (0.2)  (0.1)  (0.1)
Brexit impacts scale  0.1***  0.1***  0.1**
  (0.0)  (0.0)  (0.0)
British identity scale–0.2***–0.1***–0.1**
  (0.0)  (0.0)  (0.0)
European identity scale–0.1***  0.1***  0.0
  (0.0)  (0.0)  (0.0)
Constant–38.3***–21.3***–15.2***
  (8.2)  (5.5)  (4.5)
  Observations  59  59  59

[i] Notes: standard errors in parentheses; ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.10.

Figure 1

Predicted probability of reporting leaving, considering leaving, and not leaving from multivariable model 1 at different levels of self-reported Brexit impacts on respondent professional lives.

Figure 2

Predicted probability of respondent reporting Brexit had an impact on their decisions about leaving from multivariable model 2 at different levels of self-reported British identity.

Figure 3

Predicted probability of reporting leaving, considering leaving, and not leaving from multivariable model 1 at different levels of self-reported British identity.

Figure 4

Predicted probability of respondent reporting Brexit had an impact on their decisions about leaving from multivariable model 2 at different levels of self-reported European identity.

Figure 5

Predicted probability of reporting leaving, considering leaving, and not leaving from multivariable model 1 at different levels of self-reported European identity.

Figure 6

Predicted probability of respondent reporting Brexit had an impact on their decisions about leaving from multivariable model 2 by self-reported gender.

Figure 7

Predicted probability of reporting leaving, considering leaving, and not leaving from multivariable model 1 by self-reported gender.

Figure 8

Predicted probability of respondent reporting Brexit had an impact on their decisions about leaving from multivariable model 2 at different ages.

Figure 9

Predicted probability of reporting leaving, considering leaving, and not leaving from multivariable model 1 at different ages.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5334/aogh.3048 | Journal eISSN: 2214-9996
Language: English
Published on: Jun 24, 2021
Published by: Ubiquity Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2021 Adrienne Milner, Rebecca Nielsen, Ashton Verdery, published by Ubiquity Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.