Table 1
Population, birth and death data, and annual mean PM2.5 concentrations by County, Pittsburgh MSA, 2019.
| COUNTY | POPULATION | LIVE BIRTHS | DEATHS | MEAN PM2.5 CONCENTRATION |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allegheny | 1,221,744 | 12,834 | 13,467 | 9.77 |
| Armstrong | 65,867 | 2,092 | 859 | 8.15 |
| Beaver | 165,833 | 1,906 | 2,153 | 8.37 |
| Butler | 186,899 | 1,683 | 2,085 | 8.38 |
| Fayette | 131,302 | 3,202 | 1,730 | 8.95 |
| Lawrence | 86,727 | 903 | 1,128 | 8.26 |
| Washington | 207,212 | 1,339 | 2,577 | 7.92 |
| Westmoreland | 352,590 | 645 | 4,511 | 8.53 |
| Pittsburgh MSA | 2,418,174 | 24,604 | 28,510* | 8.54 |
[i] Note: 27,224 deaths in the Pittsburgh MSA occurred in adults 25–99 years of age. Pollution‑attributable fractions of deaths were calculated in this age range.

Figure 1
Estimated annual mean PM2.5 exposure by census tract, Pittsburgh MSA, 2016.

Figure 2
Estimated annual mean PM2.5 exposure by census tract, Allegheny County, PA, 2016.
Table 2
PM2.5‑Attributable mortality, by underlying cause, Pittsburgh MSA, 2019.
| ALL‑CAUSE MORTALITY (A00 – Z99) | LUNG CANCER (C34) | ISCHEMIC HEART DISEASE (IHD) (I20 – I25) | MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION (SUBSET OF IHD) (I21) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEPEULE [46] | LADEN [9] | GHARIBVAND [47] | KREWSKI [48] | ALEXEEFF [11] | ||||||
| COUNTY | COUNTS | PERCENT ATTRIBUTABLE | COUNTS | PERCENT ATTRIBUTABLE | COUNTS | PERCENT ATTRIBUTABLE | COUNTS | PERCENT ATTRIBUTABLE | COUNTS | PERCENT ATTRIBUTABLE |
| Allegheny | 1,553 | 11.86% | 1,744 | 13.32% | 189 | 29.20% | 382 | 18.72% | 32 | 7.17% |
| Armstrong | 85 | 10.54% | 95 | 11.85% | 12 | 26.36% | 16 | 16.76% | 2 | 6.44% |
| Beaver | 219 | 10.41% | 246 | 11.71% | 27 | 25.94% | 44 | 16.52% | 5 | 6.26% |
| Butler | 210 | 10.41% | 236 | 11.71% | 28 | 25.84% | 41 | 16.56% | 4 | 6.25% |
| Fayette | 166 | 9.89% | 187 | 11.12% | 24 | 24.65% | 40 | 15.75% | 3 | 5.96% |
| Lawrence | 113 | 10.26% | 127 | 11.54% | 15 | 25.53% | 23 | 16.22% | 2 | 6.14% |
| Washington | 252 | 10.09% | 283 | 11.35% | 41 | 25.01% | 52 | 16.35% | 6 | 6.07% |
| Westmoreland | 488 | 11.00% | 548 | 12.36% | 60 | 27.10% | 104 | 17.38% | 11 | 6.54% |
| Pittsburgh MSA | 3,085 | 11.13% | 3,467 | 12.51% | 396 | 27.37% | 702 | 17.72% | 65 | 6.69% |

Figure 3
Association between ischemic heart disease mortality rate and annual mean PM2.5 concentration by census tract, Pittsburgh MSA, 2019.
* Rates were calculated using ischemic heart disease deaths and population counts within the at‑risk population of each census tract, using the correlation coefficient from the Krewski et al. study [48].

Figure 4
PM2.5‑attributable all‑ cause mortality by census tract, Pittsburgh MSA, 2019.
Note: Estimates generated using Laden et al. [9].

Figure 5
PM2.5‑attributable all‑ cause mortality by census tract, Allegheny County, PA, 2019.
Note: Estimates generated using Lepeule et al. [46].
Table 3
PM2.5‑attributable adverse birth outcomes, Pittsburgh MSA, 2019.
| PRETERM BIRTH GHOSH [13] | LOW BIRTH WEIGHT GHOSH [13] | STILL BIRTHS ZHANG [14] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COUNTY | COUNTS | PERCENT ATTRIBUTABLE | COUNTS | PERCENT ATTRIBUTABLE | COUNTS | PERCENT ATTRIBUTABLE |
| Allegheny | 129 | 10.4% | 102 | 9.6% | 6 | 8.3% |
| Armstrong | 17 | 8.6% | 12 | 8.0% | 1 | 6.9% |
| Beaver | 14 | 9.0% | 10 | 8.3% | 1 | 7.3% |
| Butler | 13 | 9.1% | 10 | 8.4% | 1 | 7.3% |
| Fayette | 26 | 9.6% | 20 | 8.9% | 1 | 7.6% |
| Lawrence | 9 | 8.9% | 6 | 8.2% | 1 | 7.2% |
| Washington | 14 | 8.5% | 10 | 7.9% | 1 | 7.3% |
| Westmoreland | 7 | 9.1% | 7 | 8.4% | 0 | 7.2% |
| Pittsburgh MSA | 229 | 9.7% | 177 | 9.0% | 12 | 7.8% |
[i] Note: Preterm birth defined as <37 weeks’ gestation and low birth weight as <2,500 g, as per WHO guidelines.

Figure 6
Association between low‑birth‑weight rate and annual mean PM2.5 concentration by census tract, Pittsburgh MSA, 2019.



Figure 7
PM2.5‑attributable adverse birth outcomes by census tract, Pittsburgh MSA, 2019.
Table 4
PM2.5‑attributable IQ loss among children, Pittsburgh MSA, 2019 birth cohort.
| COUNTY | FSIQ | VIQ | PIQ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Allegheny | 33,848 | 30,087 | 48,891 |
| Armstrong | 4,606 | 4,094 | 6,653 |
| Beaver | 4,308 | 3,829 | 6,223 |
| Butler | 3,808 | 3,385 | 5,500 |
| Fayette | 7,735 | 6,876 | 11,173 |
| Lawrence | 2,013 | 1,789 | 2,907 |
| Washington | 2,865 | 2,547 | 4,138 |
| Westmoreland | 1,485 | 1,320 | 2,145 |
| Pittsburgh MSA | 60,668 | 53,927 | 87,631 |
[i] Note: Estimates of IQ points lost per 1 μg/m³ increase in PM2.5 were derived from Alter et al. [33] with a counterfactual concentration set to 0 μg/m.
Table 5
Lifetime economic impact of PM2.5‑attributable full‑scale IQ loss among children, Pittsburgh MSA, 2019 birth cohort.
| COUNTY | AVERAGE ECONOMIC LOSSES (US$) | LOWER LIMIT ECONOMIC LOSSES (US$) | UPPER LIMIT ECONOMIC LOSSES (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Allegheny | 1,485,541,661 | 1,328,838,954 | 1,642,244,368 |
| Armstrong | 202,155,256 | 180,830,862 | 223,479,650 |
| Beaver | 189,073,370 | 169,1289,22 | 209017819 |
| Butler | 167,118,473 | 149,489,942 | 184,747,004 |
| Fayette | 339,478,376 | 303,668,421 | 375,288,331 |
| Lawrence | 88,341,376 | 79,022,665 | 97,660,087 |
| Washington | 125,738,659 | 112,475,087 | 139,002,231 |
| Westmoreland | 65,185,718 | 58,309,587 | 72,061,848 |
| Pittsburgh MSA | 2,662,632,888 | 2,381,764,440 | 2,943,501,336 |
[i] Note: The monetary valuation of one IQ point was obtained from Grosse and Zhou [49], who estimated the present value of lifetime earnings in the United States at US$ 10,600–13,100 per IQ point. In our analysis, US$ 10,600 and US$ 13,100 were used to calculate the lower and upper limits, respectively, and the Average Economic Loss was calculated as their mean. All economic estimates are based on PM2.5‑attributable FSIQ points lost.
Table 6
Recommendations to improve air quality, prevent pollution‑related disease, and save lives.
