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Long-Term Outcomes and Factors Associated with Mortality in Patients with Moderate to Severe Pulmonary Hypertension in Kenya Cover

Long-Term Outcomes and Factors Associated with Mortality in Patients with Moderate to Severe Pulmonary Hypertension in Kenya

Open Access
|Feb 2020

Figures & Tables

Figure 1

Flow diagram showing the selection of study cohort.

* Cases with absent clinical data or electrocardiogram.

** Patients with transient elevated PASP due to acute respiratory infections, acute respiratory distress syndrome and positive pressure mechanical ventilation.

Table 1

Baseline Demographic and Clinical Characteristics.

All patients
N = 659
Demographics
    Age (years)65.72 ± 17.45
    Gender, n (%)
        Females363 (55.1)
        Males296 (44.9)
    Race
        Blacks, n (%)527 (80.0)
        Non-Blacks, n (%)132 (20.0)
Comorbidities
    Systemic Arterial Hypertension, n (%)459 (69.7)
    Diabetes Mellitus, n (%)224 (34.0)
    Smoking, n (%)66 (10.0)
    Heart failure, n (%)344 (52.2)
    COPD, n (%)78 (11.8)
    HIV, n (%) N = 20628 (13.6)
    Systolic BP (mmHg), median (IQR)82 (72–94)
    Systolic BP (mmHg), median (IQR)129 (111–147)
    Weight (kg)76.23 ± 18.82
    Body Mass Index, median (IQR)28 (24–32)
        Underweight, BMI < 18.522 (3.3%)
        Normal, BMI 18.5–24.9161 (24.4%)
        Overweight, BMI 25.0–29.9235 (35.7%)
        Stage I obesity, BMI 30.0–34.9136 (20.6%)
        Stage II obesity, BMI 35.0–39.959 (9%)
        Extreme Obesity, BMI ≥ 40.043 (6.5%)
   WHO functional class, n (%)
      Class I/II192 (43.5)
      Class III/V249 (56.5)

[i] * Plus-minus values are means ± SD.

IQR, interquartile range; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; BP, blood pressure; WHO, world health organization.

Table 2

Electrocardiographic and Echocardiographic findings.

All patients
(N = 650)
Electrocardiographic findings
    Atrial Fibrillation, n (%)99 (15.0)
Echocardiographic findings
    TRV (ms), median (IQR)3.42 (3.22–3.79)
    RAP (mmHg)9.60 ± 5.28
    PASP (mmHg), median (IQR)56 (49–68)
    TAPSE (mm) (N = 580), median (IQR)18 (15–20)
    LVEF (%), median (IQR)55 (38–60)
        LVEF < 40%186 (28.2)
    Congenital Heart Disease, n (%)38 (5.8)
    Significant valvular abnormalities, n (%)189 (28.7)
    Rheumatic valvular changes, n (%)37 (5.6)

[i] * Plus-minus values are means ± SD.

IQR, interquartile range; TRV, tricuspid regurgitant velocity; RAP, right atrial pressure; PASP, pulmonary artery systolic pressure; TAPSE, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction.

Figure 2

WHO groups of pulmonary hypertension assigned by primary physician.

PAH: pulmonary arterial hypertension; PH-LHD: PH due to left heart disease; PH-LD: PH due to lung disease; CTEPH: chronic thromboembolic PH.

Table 3

Sub-group classification of pulmonary hypertension.

Total
(N = 546)
%
Group 172
    Congenital heart disease315.7%
    HIV associated PAH183.3%
    Connective tissue disease152.7%
    Idiopathic PAH61.1%
    Portal hypertension20.4%
Group 2318
    HFrEF16430.0%
    HFpEF8515.6%
    Rheumatic valvular heart disease366.6%
    Other valvular heart diseases315.6%
    Others20.4%
Group 3122
    COPD6311.5%
    Sleep disordered breathing234.2%
    Interstitial lung disease132.4%
    Post TB bronchiectasis71.3%
    Others142.89%
Group 4285.1%
Group 58
    Sickle cell disease40.7%
    Others40.7%

[i] PAH, pulmonary arterial hypertension; HFrEF, heart failure with reduced ejection fraction; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; HFpEF, heart failure with preserved ejection fraction; TB, tuberculosis. Of the congenital heart disease 16 had ASD, 1 PDA, 1 VSD, 4 Tetralogy of Fallot and 9 others.

Figure 3

Kaplan-Meier survival estimates for (A) Overall cohort; (B) by WHO functional class; (C) by BMI; (D) by severity of PASP; (E) by LVEF and (F) by TAPSE.

WHO, World Health Organization; BMI, Body Mass Index; PH, pulmonary hypertension; PASP, pulmonary artery systolic pressures; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; LV, left ventricular; RV, right ventricular; TAPSE, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion.

Table 4

Two-year survival rates.

Probability of survival (%)
6 months78.9 ± 1.6
1 year73.8 ± 1.8
2 years65.9 ± 2.1

[i] * Plus-minus values are overall survival rate ± SE.

Table 5

Cox regression analysis.

Univariate AnalysisMultivariate Analysis¥
Unadjusted HR ± 95% CIp-valueAdjusted HR ± 95% CIp-value
Age1.03 (1.02–1.04)<0.0011.02 (1.01–1.03)<0.001
Male Gender1.23 (0.93–1.63)0.141.17 (0.88–1.54)0.29
Systemic Arterial Hypertension1.12 (0.82–1.54)0.500.73 (0.52–1.02)0.07
Diabetes Mellitus1.61 (1.22–2.14)0.0011.49 (1.13–1.98)0.005
Obesity (BMI ≥ 30)0.68 (0.50–0.93)0.010.66 (0.48–0.90)0.01
WHO Class III/IV3.53 (2.49–5.00)<0.0013.50 (2.47–4.97)<0.001
Atrial Fibrillation1.72 (1.22–2.42)0.0011.53 (1.07–2.17)0.02
Severe PH (PASP ≥ 60)1.68 (1.27–2.22)<0.0011.68 (1.27–2.22)<0.001
RV dysfunction (TAPSE < 17 mm)2.58 (1.92–3.48)<0.0012.61 (1.93–3.53)<0.001
LV dysfunction (LVEF ≤ 40%)2.15 (1.62–2.85)<0.0012.18 (1.64–2.91)<0.001
Significant valvular heart disease1.44 (1.07–1.93)0.021.28 (0.93–1.76)0.13
Rheumatic heart disease0.54 (0.24–1.21)0.131.19 (0.50–2.80)0.70

[i] Cox regression performed after confirmation of proportional hazard assumptions using log minus log graphs.

¥ A multivariate cox regression model adjusted for confounders (age, gender, race and presence of diabetes mellitus).

* P < 0.05 was considered significant.

BMI, body mass index; WHO, world health organization; PH, pulmonary hypertension; RV, right ventricle; LV, left ventricle; TAPSE, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction.

Interactions for Obesity and Age, Obesity and DM, and Obesity and Gender were performed and no interactions were present.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5334/gh.384 | Journal eISSN: 2211-8179
Language: English
Submitted on: Mar 25, 2019
Accepted on: Nov 19, 2019
Published on: Feb 6, 2020
Published by: Ubiquity Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2020 Mzee Ngunga, Abdulaziz Mansur Abeid, Jeilan Mohamed, Anders Barasa, published by Ubiquity Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.