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Climate, Air Quality and Their Contribution to Cardiovascular Disease Morbidity and Mortality in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Cover

Climate, Air Quality and Their Contribution to Cardiovascular Disease Morbidity and Mortality in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Open Access
|Mar 2025

Figures & Tables

Figure 1

Description of the articles selection processes.

Table 1

Description of included articles on CVD morbidity/mortality and environmental factors.

AUTHOR & YEARLOCATIONSTUDY DESIGNMAIN EXPOSURE(S)OUTCOME AND DEFINITIONMAIN FINDINGSSTUDY QUALITY
Buadong et al., 2009 (33)Bangkok,
Thailand
Time-seriesPM10, O3Morbidity – daily hospital visitsThere was no significant association for either PM10 or O3 on CVD morbidity in the 3-day cumulative lag model.Fair
Dong et al., 2013 (56)Liaoning Province, ChinaCross-sectionalPM10, SO2, NO2, O3Morbidity – Positive response from questionnaireNo significant association was found between any of the air pollutants and CVD morbidityFair
Tong et al., 2014 (36)Tianjin Municipality, ChinaTime-seriesPM10, SO2, NO2Morbidity – DatabaseA 10 µg/m3 increase in the 2-day average concentration of PM10 and SO2 were associated with a 0.19% (0.08–0.31) and 0.43% (0.03–0.84) increase in CVD morbidity respectively. No significant association was found for NO2.Fair
Giang et al., 2014 (31)Thai Nguyen, VietnamTime-seriesTemperatureMorbidity – Hospital admissionOver a 0–30-day lag period, there was a 12% (1%–25%) increase in CVD hospital admissions per 1 degree below the temperature threshold. A positive, yet non-significant association was observed for increased temperature.Fair
Su et al, 2016 (34)Haidian District, Beijing, ChinaTime-seriesPM10, PM2.5, SO2, NO2Morbidity – Medical records of emergency visitsIn the 0–7-day cumulative lag model, no significant association between PM2.5, PM10, SO2, or NO2, and CVD morbidity was observed.Fair
de Freitas et al., 2016 (35)Victoria,
Brazil
Time-seriesPM10, O3, SO2,Morbidity – Hospital recordsIn the 0–5-day cumulative lag model, CVD events increased by 2.11% (1.06–3.18) per 10 µg/m3 increase in O3. No significant association was observed for PM10 and SO2.Poor
Phung et al., 2016 (39)VietnamTime-seriesPM10, SO2, NO2, O3Morbidity – Hospital admissionIn the lag-3 model, neither PM10, NO2, SO2 or O3 had a statistically significant association with CVD morbidity.Fair
Ma et al., 2017 (42)Beijing,
China
Time-seriesPM10, SO2, NO2Morbidity – Hospital admissionFor a 10 µg/m3 increase in NO2, ER cardiovascular admission increased by 1.4% (RR:0.986; 95%CI:0.976–0.996) in the 0–6-day cumulative lag model. There was no association between CVD admission and PM10 or SO2.Fair
Liu et al., 2018 (46)Mainland ChinaCase crossoverCOMorbidity – Health databaseA 1 mg/m3 increase in the same day CO was associated with a 4.39% (4.07–4.70) increase in CVD.Fair
Li et al., 2018 (47)Beijing,
China
Case crossoverCOMorbidity – Health databaseA 1 mg/m3 increase in the 2-day moving average of CO was associated with a 2.8% (2.2–3.3) increase in daily hospital CVD admissions.Fair
Phosri et al., 2019 (38)Bangkok,
Thailand
Time-seriesSO2, NO2, O3, COMorbidity – Daily hospital admissionA 10 µg/m3 increase in PM10, SO2, and NO2 corresponded to 0.6% (0.10–1.00), 5.3% (2.42–8.21), and 0.6% (0.06–1.09) increases in total CVD admission in the 0–4-day cumulative lag models, respectively. A 1 mg/m3 increase in CO increased CVD admission by 4.2% (1.35–7.26). No significant association with O3 was observed.Fair
Yao et al., 2019 (86)Yichang Province, ChinaTime-seriesPM10, PM2.5Morbidity-Daily inpatient recordsThere was no statistically significant association between PM10 or PM2.5 and CVD admission in the lag 7 model.Fair
Amsalu et al., 2019 (32)Beijing,
China
Time-seriesPM2.5Morbidity – Daily hospital admissionIn the 0–3-day lag model, a 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 was associated with a 0.7% (0.4–0.9) increase in CVD hospital admissions.Fair
Cheng et al., 2019 (48)Lanzhou city,
China
Time-seriesCOMorbidity – Daily CVD hospitalizationIn the lag 0–4 model, a 1 mg/m3 increase in CO was associated with an 11% increase (95%CI: 3%–20%) in CVD hospitalization.Fair
Khan et al., 2019 (45)Dhaka,
Bangladesh
Case crossoverPM2.5Morbidity – Emergency room visitAn IQR increase (103 µg/m) of PM2.5 corresponded to a 15% increase (1–30) in CVD emergency room visits in the 3–5-day lag model.Fair
Phosri et al., 2020 (43)Bangkok,
Thailand
Time-seriesTemperatureMorbidity – Daily hospital admissionIn the 0–21 lag models, an “extremely high” diurnal temperature range (11.6°C) was associated with a 20.6% (0.2–45.2) increase in CVD hospital admissions.Fair
Rahman et al., 2022 (40)Dhaka,
Bangladesh
Time-seriesTemperatureMorbidity – Count of CVD from DatabaseThere was no association between a 1°C increase in temperature variability and ED visits for cardiovascular disease.Fair
Karbakhsh et al., 2022 (44)IranCase crossoverPM10, PM2.5, PMcoarseMorbidity – CVD admittedAn IQR increase in PMcoarse (IQR: 55 µg/m3) and PM10 (IQR: 71 µg/m3) was associated with an increase in CVD admission (OR:1.02; 95% CI: 1.00–1.05 and 1.02; 95% CI:1.01–1.04) respectively in the lag 0–1–2 model. No significant effect was observed for PM2.5.Fair
Makunyane et al., 2023 (37)Cape Town,
South Africa
Time-seriesTemperatureMorbidity – Daily counts of hospital admissionAn IQR (6.4°C) increase in temperature variability of TV was associated with a 2.61% (1.15–4.08) increase in hospital admissions.Fair
Ji et al., 2021 (49)Mainland ChinaCohortSolid fuelMorbidity – Response from questionnaireIndividuals using solid fuels at baseline had a higher risk of non-fatal CVD event than those using clean fuels (HR:1.18; 95% CI:1.05–1.32).Fair
Liu et al., 2021 (50)Mainland ChinaCohortPM2.5Morbidity – Based on Disease classificationAn IQR increase in PM2.5 (27.9 µg/m3) increased the risk of CVD morbidity (HR:1.291, 95% CI: 1.147–1.54).Fair
Mai et al., 2032 (51)Mainland ChinaCohortPM2.5Morbidity – Response from questionnaireA 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 was associated with an increased risk of CVD morbidity (OR:1.18 95% CI: 1.12–1.26).Fair
Wen et al., 2023 (52)Mainland ChinaCohortSolid fuelMorbidity – Self AssessmentTreatment effect of cardiovascular disease after implementation of coal-to-gas/electricity project was not statistically significant.Fair
Wang et al., 2023 (53)Mainland ChinaCohortNO2Morbidity – QuestionnaireA 10 µg/m3 increase in NO2 resulted in an elevated risk of CVD morbidity (HR:1.558 95% CI: 1.477–1.642).Fair
Liu et al., 2023 (54)Mainland ChinaCohortSolid fuelMorbidity – Response from questionnaireThe use of solid fuel for cooking and heating versus clean fuel increased the risk of nonfatal CVD incident by 43.0% [HR:1.43 (1.07–1.92)].Fair
Zhu et al., 2024 (55)Mainland China,CohortO3Morbidity – QuestionnaireA 10 µg/m3 increase in long-term O3 exposure was positively associated with incident of CVD (HR:1.078 95% CI: 1.050–1.106).Fair
Xia et al., 2023 (85)Mainland ChinaCohortPM2.5Morbidity & Mortality – QuestionnaireA 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 was positively associated with total CVD morbidity (HR:1.12, 95% CI: 1.11–1.14) and CVD mortality (HR:1.12 95% CI: 1.08–1.15).Good
Liang et al., 2020 (84)Mainland ChinaCohortPM2.5Morbidity & Mortality – Extracted from questionnaireA 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 gave HRs for CVD incidence and mortality of 1.25(1.22–1.28) and 1.16 (1.12–1.21), respectively.Good
Jalali et al., 2021 (23)Isfahan,
Iran
CohortPM2.5Morbidity & Mortality – Questionnaire & health recordsThe risk of CVD event increased by 2.6% (OR:1.026, 95% CI:1.016–1.036) for a 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5. No significant association was observed between PM2.5 and CVD mortality.Fair
Zhang et al., 2006 (57)Shanghai,
China
Time-seriesO3Mortality – DatabaseAn increase of 10 µg/m3 in the 4-day O3 average corresponded to a 0.9% increase (95% CI: 0.5–1.4) in total cardiovascular mortality.Fair
Tam et al., 2010 (58)Hong Kong Administrative RegionTime-seriesTemperatureMortality – DatabaseIn the 0–3 lag model, a 1°C increase in diurnal temperature range resulted in a 1.7% increase in cardiovascular mortality (RR:1.017, 95% CI: 1.003–1.033)Poor
Yang et al., 2012 (87)Suzhou Province, ChinaTime-seriesO3Mortality – DatabaseAn IQR increase in the 24-hour average concentration of O3 (33.3 µg/m3) was associated with a 3.33% (95% CI: 0.50–6.16) increase in CVD mortality.Fair
Chen et al., 2012 (60)Mainland ChinaTime seriesSO2Mortality – DatabaseA 10 µg/m3 increase in the 2-day moving average of SO2 was associated with a 0.83% increase in cardiovascular mortality (95% PI:0.47–1.19).Fair
Wichmann & Voyi, 2012 (76)South AfricaCase crossoverPM10, SO2, NO2,Mortality – DatabaseThere was a 3.4% (0.3–6.6) and 2.6% (0.1–5.2) increase in cardiovascular mortality per IQR increase in NO2 (IQR: 12 µ/m3) and SO2 (IQR: 8 µg/m3), respectively. No significant effect of PM10 was observed.Fair
Fuhai Geng et al., 2013 (61)Shanghai,
China
Time-seriesBC & PM2.5Mortality – DatabaseAn IQR increase in the mean daily concentrations of BC (IQR: 2.7 µg/m3) and PM2.5 (IQR: 41.8 µg/m3) corresponded to a 3.2% (0.6–5.7) and 3.3% (0.4–6.1) increase in total cardiovascular mortality, respectively.Fair
Wang et al., 2014 (62)Suzhou Province, ChinaTime-seriesTemperatureMortality – DatabaseIn the 0–28 lag model, extreme cold (1st centile: –0.3°C) and hot (99th centile: 32.6°C) temperatures were positively associated with cardiovascular mortality with RRs of 2.67 (1.64–4.33) and 1.62 (1.21–2.17), respectively.Fair
Han et al., 2017 (63)Jinan Province, ChinaTime-seriesTemperatureMortality – DatabaseCold spells (3 consecutive days below –3.8°C) and heat waves (3 consecutive days above 29°C) were associated with CVD mortality RRs of 1.06 (1.03–1.10) and 1.03 (1.00–1.06), respectivelyFair
Chen et al., 2018 (65)Mainland ChinaTime-seriesNO2Mortality – DatabaseA 10 µg/m3 increase in the 2-day average concentration of NO2 would increase total cardiovascular mortality by 0.9% (0.7–1.2)Fair
Chen et al., 2018 (64)Mainland ChinaTime-seriesPM2.5Mortality – DatabaseIn the 0–2 lag model, no significant association between PM2.5 and cardiovascular mortality was observed.Fair
Liu et al., 2018 (66)Mainland ChinaTime-seriesCOMortality – DatabaseIn the 0–1 lag model, a 1 mg/ m3 increase in CO was associated with a 1.12% (PI:0.42–1.83) increase in cardiovascular mortalityFair
Wu et al., 2018 (67)Guangzhou Province, ChinaTime-seriesPM2.5, PM10 & PM10-2.5Mortality – DatabaseIn the lag 06 model, a 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5, PM coarse, and PM10 was associated with an excess risk for CVD mortality of 1.15% (95% CI: 0.68, 1.62), 1.64% (95% CI: 0.86, 2.43), and 0.82% (95% CI: 0.49, 1.14), respectively.Fair
Zhang et al., 2019 (41)Jiangsu Province, ChinaTime-seriesO3Mortality – DatabaseIn the lag 0–3 model, a 10 µg/m3 increase in O3 was associated with a 0.983% (0.588–1.3770) increase in CVD-related death.Fair
Liu et al., 2019 (68)Shenyang Province, ChinaTime-seriesPM10, PM2.5, SO2, NO2, O3, COMortality – Death registryIn the lag 05 model, 10 µg/m3 increases in PM2.5, PM10, SO2, and NO2 were associated with RRs for CVD mortality of 1.004 (1.001, 1.008), 1.003 (1.001, 1.006), 1.005 (1.001, 1.009), and 1.016 (1.005, 1.028), respectively. A 1 mg/m3 increase in CO was associated with an RR of 1.066 (1.025, 1.108). No significant association was observed for O3.Fair
Duan et al., 2019 (69)Shenzhen Province, ChinaTime-seriesNO2Mortality – DatabaseIn the lag 0–5-day model, a 10 µg/m3 increase in NO2 was associated with a 3.41% (1.55–5.30) increase in cardiovascular mortality.Fair
Iranpour et al., 2020 (70)Ahvaz,
Iran
Time-seriesTemperatureMortality – DatabaseIn the 0–28-day lag model, no association between heat above the 99th centile (41.2°C) or below the 1st centile (9.3°C), and CVD mortality was observed.Fair
Khosravi et al., 2020 (71)Mashhad,
Iran
Time-seriesPM10, PM2.5, NO2, O3, COMortality – DatabaseNone of the five pollutants assessed were associated with cardiovascular mortality.Fair
Zhou et al., 2021 (72)Taiyuan Province, ChinaTime-seriesPM10, PM2.5Mortality – DatabaseIn the 0–30 lag model, a 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 and PM10 was associated with a 3.10% (0.86–5.38) and 1.61% (0.69–2.54) increase in cardiovascular mortality.Fair
Li et al., 2021 (73)Guangzhou Province, ChinaTime-seriesO3Mortality – RegistryIn the 0–3 lag model, a 10 µg/m3 increase in O3 was associated with a 0.59% (0.30–0.88) increase in CVD mortality.Fair
Olutola et al., 2023 (75)South AfricaCase crossoverPM10, SO2, NO2,Mortality – DatabaseIn the 0–6-day lag model, none of the examined pollutants were associated with increased CVD mortality.Fair
Xia et al., 2023 (74)Chengdu,
China
Time-seriesTemperatureMortality – DatabaseIn the 0–14-day lag model, extreme heat (99th centile, >29 °C) and extreme cold (1st centile, < 3°C) were both associated with increased CVD mortality, with RRs of 1.28 (1.14–1.43) and 1.45 (1.24–1.68), respectively.Fair
Cao et al., 2011 (59)Mainland ChinaCohortSO2, TSP, NOXMortality – Hospital recordsA 10 µg/m3 increase in TSP, SO2, and NOx corresponded to 0.9% (95% CI: 0.3, 1.5), 3.2% (95% CI: 2.3, 4.0), and 2.3% (95% CI:0.6, 4.1) increases in cardiovascular mortality, respectively.Fair
Wong et al., 2015 (77)Hong Kong, Administrative RegionCohortPM2.5Mortality – Death registryA 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 exposure was associated with a 22% increase in cardiovascular mortality [HR:1.22 (1.08–1.39)].Fair
Yu et al., 2018 (78)Mainland ChinaCohortSolid fuelMortality – QuestionnaireSolid fuel use for cooking or heating was significantly associated with higher risk of cardiovascular mortality [HR:1.20 (1.02–1.41)] and [HR:1.29 (1.06–1.55)], respectively.Fair
Yang et al., 2018 (79)Mainland ChinaCohortPM2.5, NO2 & BCMortality – DatabaseAn IQR increase in PM2.5 (5.5 µg/m3) or BC (9.6 µg/m3) was associated with increased HRs for CVD mortality (1.06 [1.02–1.10] and 1.07 [1.02–1.11], respectively. No significant association was observed for NO2.Fair
Arku et al., 2020 (80)China, India, South Africa and TanzaniaCohortKeroseneMortality – Hospital records, Death certificate and Verbal autopsiesHousehold cooking primary with kerosene had a 34% [HR:1.34 (1.08–1.66)] increase in major cardiovascular disease mortality.Fair
Liang et al., 2022 (81)Mainland ChinaCohortPM2.5Mortality – Death registryA 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 was associated with a HR for cardiovascular mortality of 1.02 (1.00–1.05).Good
Liu et al., 2022 (82)Yinzhou Province, ChinaCohortO3Mortality – Death registryA 10 µg/m3 increase in long-term annual average of O3 increased cardiovascular mortality by approximately 22% [HR:1.22 (1.12–1.33)].Good
Niu et al., 2022 (83)Mainland ChinaCohortO3Mortality – Death registryA 10 µg/m3 increase in O3 was associated with an elevated risk of cardiovascular mortality [HR:1.093 (1.046–1.142)].Good
Figure 2

Meta-analysis of short-term PM2.5 exposure and CVD morbidity and mortality.

Figure 3

Meta-analysis of short-term NO2 exposure and CVD morbidity and mortality.

Figure 4

Meta-analysis of short-term O3 exposure and CVD morbidity and mortality.

Figure 5

Meta-analysis of long-term PM2.5 exposure and cardiovascular disease morbidity and mortality.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5334/gh.1409 | Journal eISSN: 2211-8179
Language: English
Submitted on: Nov 12, 2024
Accepted on: Feb 13, 2025
Published on: Mar 27, 2025
Published by: Ubiquity Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2025 Stephaney Gyaase, Solomon Nyame, Kerstin Klipstein-Grobusch, Kwaku Poku Asante, George S. Downward, published by Ubiquity Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.