Table 1
Incidence of ischemic heart disease in G20 countries and temporal trends from 1990 to 2021.
| LOCATION | CASES (95% UI) | AGE-STANDARDIZED INCIDENCE RATE, PER 100 000 (95% UI) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 2021 | 1990–2021 CHANGE (%) | 1990 | 2021 | 1990–2021 EAPC(95% CI) | |
| Global | 15813618.65 (13180529.44, 18849478.54) | 31872778.18 (26284920.94, 38267834.30) | 101.55 (98.87, 104.39) | 419.54 (351.07, 498.15) | 372.90 (307.95, 444.19) | –0.44 (–0.47, –0.41) |
| China | 2301643.54 (1861968.54, 2792193.37) | 7304573.22 (5815313.24, 8949994.68) | 217.36 (202.99, 235.54) | 315.31 (255.53, 382.49) | 365.67 (293.32, 440.07) | 0.66 (0.50, 0.82) |
| Argentina | 110811.76 (97236.50, 128208.93) | 135407.29 (115179.33, 160520.07) | 22.20 (13.90, 31.04) | 357.69 (315.71, 410.38) | 243.87 (207.22, 291.57) | –1.61 (–1.89, –1.33) |
| Australia | 65818.16 (58075.69, 74535.04) | 94563.21 (77489.08, 114340.96) | 43.67 (28.11, 61.46) | 344.16 (305.95, 389.10) | 213.72 (176.25, 262.25) | –1.43 (–1.82, –1.05) |
| Brazil | 176403.78 (147670.15, 209651.27) | 420771.58 (341548.72, 505774.15) | 138.53 (127.34, 149.74) | 197.12 (163.41, 234.79) | 167.57 (136.27, 200.40) | –0.37 (–0.45, –0.29) |
| Canada | 128768.69 (113261.44, 149684.38) | 146396.51 (123174.69, 174147.54) | 13.69 (4.32, 25.89) | 397.51 (349.10, 463.63) | 204.24 (170.67, 245.09) | –2.65 (–2.90, –2.40) |
| European Union | 2093991.53 (1890015.76, 2353146.47) | 1981694.26 (1734015.05, 2269780.24) | –5.36 (–9.49, –1.25) | 352.76 (317.87, 392.91) | 207.49 (179.16, 242.53) | –1.90 (–2.03, –1.77) |
| France | 233422.28 (209001.93, 261151.14) | 249807.82 (214444.42, 294830.86) | 7.02 (–4.44, 20.56) | 283.69 (256.56, 314.88) | 176.27 (147.06, 213.19) | –0.98 (–1.20, –0.77) |
| Germany | 551176.49 (505918.16, 601471.06) | 441721.75 (391901.28, 505338.72) | –19.86 (–28.10, –9.94) | 432.87 (399.23, 469.58) | 223.88 (195.43, 261.15) | –2.34 (–2.45, –2.24) |
| India | 2704532.05 (2148026.31, 3347899.60) | 6849890.32 (5528403.36, 8331623.25) | 153.27 (145.59, 161.95) | 607.77 (484.82, 748.75) | 585.23 (470.56, 713.17) | –0.14 (–0.23, –0.06) |
| Indonesia | 211687.37 (168424.18, 260333.64) | 582119.57 (463533.37, 718983.05) | 174.99 (168.63, 180.91) | 240.21 (192.05, 295.20) | 270.65 (215.27, 331.46) | 0.61 (0.50, 0.71) |
| Italy | 227442.28 (178385.67, 281938.49) | 226379.46 (187770.03, 263972.40) | –0.47 (–8.76, 9.97) | 262.22 (206.08, 325.30) | 166.39 (138.51, 194.88) | –1.71 (–1.81, –1.62) |
| Japan | 150408.68 (118335.29, 188174.43) | 358364.99 (279728.98, 453220.78) | 138.26 (111.67, 168.37) | 91.85 (72.89, 114.39) | 90.63 (71.46, 113.97) | –0.30 (–0.47, –0.12) |
| Mexico | 146333.26 (117620.58, 178933.75) | 412013.58 (329516.20, 507005.80) | 181.56 (174.10, 190.11) | 350.94 (278.60, 435.25) | 329.42 (261.01, 403.11) | –0.30 (–0.37, –0.24) |
| Republic of Korea | 50995.36 (43011.51, 60717.02) | 88757.79 (73096.64, 107551.37) | 74.05 (55.76, 94.14) | 207.36 (179.12, 241.59) | 96.28 (79.26, 116.32) | –2.18 (–2.59, –1.77) |
| Russian Federation | 1226018.72 (986689.42, 1484619.58) | 1719384.92 (1372804.25, 2108619.52) | 40.24 (31.88, 48.06) | 741.29 (599.61, 898.59) | 727.97 (586.20, 880.94) | –0.35 (–0.66, –0.03) |
| Saudi Arabia | 50790.91 (41793.15, 61699.52) | 202757.82 (167092.42, 247500.47) | 299.20 (266.89, 340.58) | 877.87 (719.09, 1065.04) | 920.14 (777.97, 1085.34) | 0.16 (0.04, 0.28) |
| South Africa | 85209.09 (67282.25, 106271.37) | 172647.18 (136318.87, 217054.32) | 102.62 (96.61, 108.07) | 419.96 (329.42, 528.11) | 380.13 (300.49, 471.61) | –0.52 (–0.62, –0.43) |
| Turkey | 287173.65 (248897.84, 339689.62) | 621078.92 (527076.81, 740295.19) | 116.27 (95.59, 138.03) | 824.26 (718.28, 963.21) | 665.07 (568.25, 784.58) | –0.75 (–0.87, –0.64) |
| United Kingdom | 258729.50 (208292.78, 318199.59) | 176843.92 (143926.41, 213528.89) | –31.65 (–35.87, –26.82) | 287.52 (232.83, 354.16) | 141.62 (115.22, 170.01) | –2.12 (–2.49, –1.76) |
| United States of America | 1452572.29 (1131039.12, 1825893.46) | 967989.81 (814312.97, 1134211.96) | –33.36 (–39.52, –25.08) | 461.63 (361.24, 582.38) | 170.36 (143.90, 197.67) | –3.66 (–3.95, –3.37) |
[i] G20: Group of 20, UI: Uncertainty interval, EAPC: Estimated annual percentage change, CI: Confidence interval.
Table 2
Prevalence of ischemic heart disease in G20 countries and temporal trends from 1990 to 2021.
| LOCATION | CASES (95% UI) | AGE-STANDARDIZED PREVALENCE RATE, PER 100 000 (95% UI) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 2021 | 1990–2021 CHANGE (%) | 1990 | 2021 | 1990–2021 EAPC (95% CI) | |
| Global | 112169488.40 (99416740.98, 125730168.70) | 254276267.90 (221446458.10, 295493092.70) | 126.69 (117.83, 136.62) | 2904.72 (2575.99, 3248.10) | 2946.38 (2572.69, 3424.32) | 0.00 (–0.03, 0.03) |
| China | 19505463.06 (16754811.28, 22537174.00) | 63331311.50 (53812323.83, 76196537.00) | 224.68 (208.12, 245.47) | 2526.44 (2189.97, 2914.97) | 3042.35 (2601.68, 3629.87) | 0.64 (0.56, 0.72) |
| Argentina | 638248.00 (583732.87, 701214.99) | 932786.44 (837288.33, 1049343.95) | 46.15 (37.57, 54.96) | 1977.98 (1811.70, 2166.45) | 1666.56 (1499.65, 1871.35) | –0.73 (–0.83, –0.64) |
| Australia | 438617.93 (407006.55, 476441.50) | 847760.59 (760154.86, 952136.02) | 93.28 (76.44, 108.90) | 2247.86 (2092.46, 2437.69) | 1877.69 (1685.68, 2103.19) | –0.65 (–0.85, –0.44) |
| Brazil | 1724721.45 (1475061.00, 1976421.82) | 4966552.33 (4177586.92, 5843929.62) | 187.96 (175.62, 201.95) | 1954.18 (1672.80, 2253.55) | 1976.74 (1669.26, 2325.71) | 0.07 (0.04, 0.10) |
| Canada | 742086.71 (684174.01, 806721.39) | 1105820.17 (1000313.19, 1252450.95) | 49.01 (39.60, 58.73) | 2267.31 (2093.18, 2463.98) | 1544.09 (1400.94, 1734.92) | –1.48 (–1.63, –1.34) |
| European Union | 14156038.48 (12731179.84, 15687865.33) | 17292412.64 (15335809.23, 19574701.89) | 22.16 (17.24, 28.03) | 2348.86 (2116.10, 2596.35) | 1855.83 (1644.65, 2094.96) | –0.93(–1.01, –0.86) |
| France | 1614378.54 (1467211.54, 1788197.60) | 2180522.62 (1942324.60, 2473239.35) | 35.07 (25.31, 45.93) | 1959.02 (1790.62, 2161.32) | 1595.12 (1425.27, 1801.50) | –0.78 (–0.88, –0.68) |
| Germany | 3101107.62 (2833708.93, 3409588.35) | 3151797.82 (2791317.00, 3549641.44) | 1.63 (–4.26, 8.69) | 2442.44 (2243.92, 2676.81) | 1683.17 (1496.00, 1900.56) | –1.28 (–1.34, –1.21) |
| India | 17867820.10 (15107259.55, 20818190.22) | 51933273.32 (43141707.52, 62567272.58) | 190.65 (176.16, 207.47) | 4110.85 (3518.51, 4788.48) | 4458.18 (3744.48, 5412.76) | 0.27 (0.25, 0.28) |
| Indonesia | 1842025.57 (1574670.90, 2126112.82) | 5158083.01 (4325307.05, 6144843.95) | 180.02 (166.62, 193.01) | 2085.58 (1796.26, 2404.55) | 2349.89 (1998.83, 2782.38) | 0.50 (0.46, 0.54) |
| Italy | 1682045.64 (1429035.51, 1944088.91) | 2109380.70 (1762593.05, 2505110.62) | 25.41 (19.46, 31.57) | 1887.10 (1615.66, 2179.93) | 1544.57 (1296.30, 1834.07) | –0.88 (–0.97, –0.80) |
| Japan | 1590718.02 (1362924.60, 1845351.10) | 2918517.07 (2466761.27, 3474093.52) | 83.47 (66.73, 100.04) | 943.84 (811.03, 1090.14) | 802.34 (686.82, 938.16) | –0.77 (–0.88, –0.67) |
| Mexico | 1163203.38 (1006940.36, 1337844.20) | 3513288.55 (2974794.29, 4204715.90) | 202.04 (188.56, 217.47) | 2798.08 (2417.87, 3240.52) | 2797.04 (2384.64, 3344.04) | –0.08 (–0.12, –0.03) |
| Republic of Korea | 304843.32 (279161.93, 336172.44) | 788589.59 (697856.86, 892037.47) | 158.69 (142.00, 176.90) | 1118.13 (1028.29, 1232.87) | 841.83 (748.12, 948.82) | –1.12 (–1.25, –0.99) |
| Russian Federation | 8242544.07 (7192086.29, 9399669.62) | 12624157.82 (10898100.28, 14905229.20) | 53.16 (46.01, 60.62) | 4758.48 (4182.91, 5385.01) | 5279.14 (4568.46, 6189.43) | 0.23 (0.12, 0.34) |
| Saudi Arabia | 344962.97 (321903.79, 370003.13) | 1407289.37 (1272028.51, 1545986.29) | 307.95 (285.53, 332.54) | 6267.77 (5855.70, 6718.94) | 7341.64 (6747.53, 7966.80) | 0.59 (0.54, 0.64) |
| South Africa | 599803.54 (513181.53, 695631.29) | 1283629.91 (1076863.48, 1532287.96) | 114.01 (104.31, 124.61) | 3009.73 (2580.12, 3500.90) | 2839.86 (2396.41, 3389.41) | –0.31 (–0.38, –0.24) |
| Turkey | 2046513.35 (1921458.97, 2196549.85) | 5015695.28 (4562044.65, 5507294.31) | 145.08 (129.89, 159.57) | 6090.46 (5727.54, 6507.62) | 5365.86 (4895.52, 5874.65) | –0.55 (–0.61, –0.50) |
| United Kingdom | 1755046.17 (1523281.49, 2014513.46) | 1702773.46 (1453038.01, 2001056.49) | –2.98 (–7.44, 2.33) | 1953.27 (1692.63, 2228.79) | 1363.38 (1162.34, 1599.93) | –1.45 (–1.63, –1.27) |
| United States of America | 9341215.83 (7880209.71, 10980078.81) | 8655573.75 (7305087.14, 10307536.66) | –7.34 (–11.90, –1.84) | 2912.81 (2469.35, 3410.96) | 1488.78 (1263.92, 1756.36) | –2.57 (–2.76, –2.38) |
[i] G20: Group of 20, UI: Uncertainty interval, EAPC: Estimated annual percentage change, CI: Confidence interval.
Table 3
Mortality of ischemic heart disease in G20 countries and temporal trends from 1990 to 2021.
| LOCATION | CASES (95% UI) | AGE-STANDARDIZED MORTALITY RATE, PER 100 000 (95% UI) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 2021 | 1990–2021 CHANGE (%) | 1990 | 2021 | 1990–2021 EAPC (95% CI) | |
| Global | 5367136.58 (5076403.86, 5562773.87) | 8991636.68 (8264123.21, 9531130.17) | 67.53 (58.76, 75.87) | 158.90 (148.14, 165.30) | 108.73 (99.60, 115.38) | –1.30 (–1.34, –1.26) |
| China | 547845.09 (486106.46, 617005.67) | 1956859.43 (1634477.57, 2280131.16) | 257.19 (196.40, 335.87) | 94.14 (84.01, 105.89) | 110.91 (92.42, 128.56) | 0.97 (0.63, 1.31) |
| Argentina | 46663.19 (44422.94, 48177.52) | 35109.80 (32241.92, 37063.90) | –24.76 (–28.75, –21.25) | 158.80 (149.31, 164.64) | 60.79 (55.95, 64.11) | –2.68 (–2.87, –2.50) |
| Australia | 32990.15 (30571.98, 34270.32) | 23031.87 (19557.67, 24978.12) | –30.19 (–36.36, –26.04) | 175.07 (160.93, 182.55) | 44.08 (37.95, 47.53) | –4.68 (–4.80, –4.56) |
| Brazil | 105307.12 (100047.13, 108323.43) | 157550.11 (144833.10, 165499.38) | 49.61 (42.63, 56.02) | 136.61 (127.24, 141.52) | 64.01 (58.63, 67.35) | –2.32 (–2.41, –2.22) |
| Canada | 50105.55 (46274.45, 51988.65) | 41493.63 (36498.59, 44418.75) | –17.19 (–22.65, –13.96) | 156.66 (143.99, 162.88) | 51.12 (45.43, 54.44) | –3.88 (–4.04, –3.72) |
| European Union | 1010274.38 (942751.82, 1041504.02) | 744989.27 (653289.45, 794950.53) | –26.26 (–31.20, –23.24) | 168.750 (156.699, 174.456) | 64.652 (57.527, 68.531) | –3.303 (–3.387, –3.220) |
| France | 74095.08 (68294.19, 77384.55) | 56002.42 (47365.54, 60965.03) | –24.42 (–31.49, –20.09) | 84.26 (77.70, 87.99) | 29.87 (25.89, 32.30) | –3.48 (–3.61, –3.35) |
| Germany | 254432.16 (233570.91, 265106.53) | 150616.94 (129273.89, 163023.29) | –40.80 (–45.92, –37.72) | 192.40 (176.05, 200.95) | 63.67 (55.51, 68.32) | –3.72 (–3.84, –3.61) |
| India | 571504.96 (511213.90, 624257.48) | 1632881.84 (1487219.38, 1788197.88) | 185.72 (150.37, 227.51) | 137.87 (121.54, 151.08) | 151.17 (137.46, 165.08) | 0.48 (0.30, 0.66) |
| Indonesia | 89011.81 (76060.38, 101756.30) | 276493.65 (229238.18, 322155.06) | 210.63 (148.12, 285.88) | 102.96 (85.94, 119.91) | 143.25 (119.34, 163.30) | 1.19 (1.09, 1.29) |
| Italy | 94745.72 (86023.99, 99143.84) | 85030.62 (70074.59, 92946.70) | –10.25 (–18.86, –5.76) | 108.50 (97.93, 113.85) | 44.27 (37.56, 47.75) | –3.04 (–3.14, –2.94) |
| Japan | 102221.70 (92558.19, 106893.75) | 123164.00 (99194.64, 136240.43) | 20.49 (6.95, 28.20) | 66.69 (59.50, 70.22) | 25.36 (21.70, 27.29) | –2.95 (–3.18, –2.72) |
| Mexico | 38261.91 (36879.95, 38955.55) | 129103.48 (114982.51, 143052.14) | 237.42 (204.25, 271.86) | 113.39 (108.31, 115.87) | 113.21 (100.89, 125.20) | –0.10 (–0.37, 0.18) |
| Republic of Korea | 12338.69 (10729.60, 14137.60) | 25415.44 (20651.61, 29168.94) | 105.98 (77.06, 138.93) | 60.15 (51.83, 68.91) | 28.27 (22.87, 32.57) | –3.03 (–3.31, –2.74) |
| Russian Federation | 482850.75 (462864.86, 492436.80) | 512524.27 (470911.59, 551237.97) | 6.15 (–0.83, 13.27) | 311.27 (294.21, 318.67) | 212.91 (195.61, 229.02) | –1.61 (–2.12, –1.10) |
| Saudi Arabia | 11469.22 (8755.15, 14415.79) | 32329.67 (26303.88, 39773.79) | 181.88 (105.51, 306.28) | 225.52 (174.28, 279.62) | 185.90 (158.13, 219.08) | –0.72 (–0.92, –0.51) |
| South Africa | 13911.29 (11672.35, 15652.43) | 30300.97 (27568.30, 32899.92) | 117.82 (97.51, 147.85) | 74.43 (61.29, 84.33) | 78.04 (71.05, 84.66) | 0.00 (–0.40, 0.41) |
| Turkey | 61298.30 (54354.67, 68192.65) | 112054.57 (92076.78, 131673.92) | 82.80 (48.99, 119.78) | 204.65 (180.71, 228.18) | 133.38 (109.89, 155.94) | –1.29 (–1.60, –0.97) |
| United Kingdom | 184357.71 (173164.20, 189356.76) | 76354.24 (67535.95, 80433.70) | –58.58 (–61.06, –57.34) | 196.49 (184.68, 201.92) | 52.11 (46.86, 54.65) | –4.67 (–4.86, –4.48) |
| United States of America | 594729.09 (534528.60, 623663.90) | 493222.04 (432450.65, 527138.63) | –17.07 (–20.15, –14.93) | 179.83 (162.05, 188.39) | 78.92 (69.93, 83.85) | –3.01 (–3.16, –2.85) |
[i] G20: Group of 20, UI: Uncertainty interval, EAPC: Estimated annual percentage change, CI: Confidence interval.
Table 4
Disability-adjusted life years of ischemic heart disease in G20 countries and temporal trends from 1990 to 2021.
| LOCATION | CASES (95% UI) | AGE-STANDARDIZED DALY RATE, PER 100 000 (95% UI) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 2021 | 1990–2021 CHANGE (%) | 1990 | 2021 | 1990–2021 EAPC (95% CI) | |
| Global | 119162957.30 (114547786.90, 123454733.00) | 188360557.30 (177036930.40, 198154476.60) | 58.07 (49.50, 66.45) | 3107.61 (2966.50, 3222.67) | 2212.16 (2075.54, 2327.61) | –1.20 (–1.25, –1.15) |
| China | 13624111.86 (12056605.55, 15466092.35) | 35672627.04 (29920272.75, 41738945.76) | 161.83 (112.90, 223.36) | 1771.13 (1574.76, 1990.67) | 1856.51 (1548.73, 2159.82) | 0.51 (0.24, 0.78) |
| Argentina | 951849.68 (921724.72, 978424.58) | 659381.08 (620826.60, 690368.78) | –30.73 (–33.73, –27.66) | 3045.51 (2935.24, 3135.27) | 1179.87 (1113.64, 1234.14) | –2.74 (–2.91, –2.58) |
| Australia | 612460.76 (578633.78, 632274.49) | 356731.81 (318531.19, 379798.16) | –41.75 (–45.60, –38.77) | 3168.21 (2983.34, 3273.46) | 768.62 (696.10, 814.23) | –4.78 (–4.93, –4.63) |
| Brazil | 2626269.58 (2536094.83, 2689422.79) | 3713582.76 (3497727.16, 3865675.69) | 41.40 (36.13, 46.96) | 2916.95 (2791.89, 2996.12) | 1469.72 (1380.14, 1530.27) | –2.16 (–2.24, –2.09) |
| Canada | 929566.80 (881760.23, 956834.54) | 673922.76 (612998.87, 710472.29) | –27.50 (–31.46, –24.85) | 2886.93 (2735.29, 2972.96) | 922.52 (849.26, 968.23) | –3.88 (–4.03, –3.73) |
| European Union | 18823858.58 (18002268.61, 19273994.03) | 11627757.69 (10603987.65, 12278527.32) | –38.23 (–41.68, –35.85) | 3182.76 (3041.70, 3259.52) | 1167.52 (1080.19, 1226.80) | –3.47 (–3.56, –3.38) |
| France | 1265075.45 (1190602.88, 1315058.77) | 841382.13 (745327.47, 909860.04) | –33.49 (–38.33, –29.80) | 1519.29 (1434.08, 1575.77) | 555.98 (503.45, 597.26) | –3.36 (–3.46, –3.25) |
| Germany | 4427915.18 (4180700.20, 4575610.71) | 2250722.06 (1988200.08, 2398480.24) | –49.17 (–52.95, –46.89) | 3470.96 (3277.21, 3583.26) | 1096.63 (993.52, 1160.04) | –3.86 (–3.98, –3.74) |
| India | 16765036.26 (15156253.18, 18285253.38) | 41316678.39 (37458752.56, 45305507.28) | 146.45 (115.61, 184.29) | 3321.51 (2980.30, 3628.90) | 3400.03 (3098.47, 3720.83) | 0.18 (0.06, 0.30) |
| Indonesia | 2602187.39 (2270109.54, 2942989.62) | 7347522.27 (6101893.28, 8695819.81) | 182.36 (123.55, 249.41) | 2420.31 (2079.08, 2751.00) | 3043.08 (2527.28, 3544.71) | 0.87 (0.77, 0.97) |
| Italy | 1730943.85 (1627559.99, 1788916.04) | 1194535.48 (1035883.32, 1282895.98) | –30.99 (–36.39, –28.01) | 1988.69 (1868.54, 2056.66) | 747.14 (673.73, 791.65) | –3.32 (–3.40, –3.25) |
| Japan | 1848886.15 (1727631.33, 1913031.12) | 1803042.97 (1556452.86, 1940530.38) | –2.48 (–10.13, 2.22) | 1141.16 (1058.45, 1184.99) | 502.25 (460.02, 526.29) | –2.51 (–2.66, –2.37) |
| Mexico | 832032.19 (811517.00, 845792.79) | 2626717.04 (2336523.15, 2939559.09) | 215.70 (182.06, 250.77) | 2050.57 (1986.67, 2089.13) | 2125.69 (1892.12, 2373.05) | –0.03 (–0.30, 0.23) |
| Republic of Korea | 297271.06 (258621.90, 336200.60) | 424498.34 (362480.24, 475146.80) | 42.80 (25.34, 62.76) | 1084.12 (948.59, 1232.98) | 470.99 (402.59, 526.79) | –3.26 (–3.52, –3.00) |
| Russian Federation | 10020381.70 (9747362.61, 10188133.54) | 9631666.32 (8865971.18, 10363140.76) | –3.88 (–10.54, 3.01) | 5901.48 (5703.59, 6010.77) | 4082.19 (3760.50, 4389.11) | –1.75 (–2.34, –1.15) |
| Saudi Arabia | 308806.62 (233829.26, 392612.54) | 1075688.88 (851631.30, 1338612.93) | 248.34 (149.43, 412.45) | 4888.39 (3749.14, 6143.97) | 4219.77 (3530.63, 5082.93) | –0.42 (–0.65, –0.20) |
| South Africa | 358547.87 (315697.05, 396157.61) | 712623.05 (653012.88, 778831.81) | 98.75 (80.86, 118.87) | 1647.75 (1419.91, 1832.50) | 1568.46 (1435.50, 1705.97) | –0.28 (–0.68, 0.13) |
| Turkey | 1477735.15 (1299333.12, 1653583.77) | 2187118.64 (1808029.13, 2591481.17) | 48.00 (19.23, 80.44) | 4255.11 (3773.12, 4724.64) | 2419.28 (2008.07, 2856.99) | –1.92 (–2.16, –1.67) |
| United Kingdom | 3430621.38 (3292789.25, 3498042.69) | 1273352.28 (1174184.97, 1329582.17) | –62.88 (–64.42, –61.92) | 3846.95 (3702.17, 3918.72) | 983.93 (921.73, 1021.77) | –4.76 (–4.97, –4.56) |
| United States of America | 10780285.70 (10063311.90, 11136811.70) | 8751736.16 (8013896.50, 9182127.60) | –18.82 (–20.94, –16.94) | 3395.99 (3185.06, 3501.20) | 1527.33 (1412.25, 1595.15) | –2.90 (–3.05, –2.74) |
[i] G20: Group of 20, UI: Uncertainty interval, EAPC: Estimated annual percentage change, CI: Confidence interval, DALY, Disability-adjusted life years.
Figure 1
The age distribution for incidence and mortality of ischemic heart disease in China and G20 countries. (A) Age distribution of incidence in China for genders. (B) Age distribution of mortality in China for genders. (C) Age distribution of incidence in the G20 countries for genders. (D) Age distribution of mortality in the G20 countries for genders. G20: Group of Twenty.
Figure 2
Attributable age-standardized mortality rates by ischemic heart disease risk factors in China and G20 countries in 2021. (A) China; (B) G20 countries. G20: Group of Twenty.
Table 5
Predictions of incidence, mortality, and Disability-adjusted life years of ischemic heart disease in China stratified by gender from 2022 to 2040.
| YEAR | AGE-STANDARDIZED INCIDENCE RATE, PER 100 000 (95% CI) | AGE-STANDARDIZED MORTALITY RATE, PER 100 000 (95% CI) | AGE-STANDARDIZED DALY RATE, PER 100 000 (95% CI) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MALE | FEMALE | MALE | FEMALE | MALE | FEMALE | |
| 2022 | 729.96 (703.03, 756.89) | 580.78 (557.20, 604.37) | 263.99 (247.71, 280.28) | 148.22 (139.55, 156.88) | 4400.65 (4154.59, 4646.70) | 2329.64 (2202.32, 2456.96) |
| 2023 | 734.00 (700.31, 767.69) | 584.44 (555.32, 613.55) | 264.71 (244.71, 284.72) | 146.49 (135.78, 157.20) | 4409.27 (4098.06, 4720.49) | 2294.27 (2135.69, 2452.84) |
| 2024 | 738.03 (698.32, 777.74) | 588.11 (554.01, 622.22) | 265.26 (241.94, 288.58) | 144.62 (132.19, 157.05) | 4416.53 (4048.53, 4784.53) | 2257.58 (2073.20, 2441.95) |
| 2025 | 742.03 (696.74, 787.33) | 591.81 (553.04, 630.58) | 265.65 (239.28, 292.02) | 142.62 (128.69, 156.54) | 4422.68 (4002.87, 4842.49) | 2219.80 (2013.16, 2426.44) |
| 2026 | 746.10 (695.49, 796.72) | 595.59 (552.35, 638.83) | 265.88 (236.65, 295.11) | 140.52 (125.26, 155.78) | 4427.97 (3959.62, 4896.32) | 2181.36 (1955.01, 2407.70) |
| 2027 | 750.27 (694.51, 806.03) | 599.46 (551.89, 647.04) | 265.98 (234.01, 297.93) | 138.35 (121.88, 154.82) | 4432.54 (3917.90, 4947.17) | 2142.37 (1898.33, 2386.42) |
| 2028 | 754.48 (693.71, 815.25) | 603.38 (551.56, 655.20) | 265.94 (231.37, 300.52) | 136.08 (118.52, 153.65) | 4436.44 (3877.34, 4995.54) | 2102.78 (1842.76, 2362.79) |
| 2029 | 758.68 (693.00, 824.35) | 607.30 (551.30, 663.30) | 265.80 (228.72, 302.89) | 133.72 (115.16, 152.27) | 4439.75 (3837.66, 5041.84) | 2062.46 (1788.02, 2336.90) |
| 2030 | 762.85 (692.33, 833.36) | 611.22 (551.09, 671.34) | 265.61 (226.09, 305.14) | 131.27 (111.81, 150.72) | 4442.98 (3798.98, 5086.97) | 2021.63 (1734.12, 2309.13) |
| 2031 | 767.04 (691.73, 842.34) | 615.18 (550.95, 679.40) | 265.42 (223.51, 307.33) | 128.77 (108.50, 149.04) | 4446.65 (3761.49, 5131.82) | 1980.69 (1681.28, 2280.09) |
| 2032 | 771.28 (691.20, 851.35) | 619.17 (550.86, 687.49) | 265.24 (220.98, 309.49) | 126.25 (105.23, 147.27) | 4451.06 (3725.17, 5176.96) | 1939.75 (1629.48, 2250.01) |
| 2033 | 775.51 (690.69, 860.34) | 623.16 (550.76, 695.56) | 265.11 (218.54, 311.68) | 123.71 (102.01, 145.41) | 4456.39 (3690.11, 5222.66) | 1898.92 (1578.78, 2219.06) |
| 2034 | 779.72 (690.16, 869.28) | 627.11 (550.64, 703.58) | 265.06 (216.20, 313.93) | 121.16 (98.85, 143.48) | 4462.64 (3656.24, 5269.05) | 1858.20 (1529.11, 2187.29) |
| 2035 | 783.87 (689.59, 878.15) | 631.03 (550.48, 711.57) | 265.14 (213.98, 316.29) | 118.62 (95.74, 141.50) | 4470.05 (3623.56, 5316.53) | 1817.74 (1480.55, 2154.94) |
| 2036 | 787.98 (688.98, 886.98) | 634.93 (550.31, 719.55) | 265.31 (211.87, 318.76) | 116.10 (92.71, 139.49) | 4478.65 (3591.98, 5365.32) | 1777.79 (1433.23, 2122.35) |
| 2037 | 792.07 (688.34, 895.80) | 638.81 (550.10, 727.53) | 265.53 (209.80, 321.26) | 113.59 (89.74, 137.44) | 4488.10 (3561.03, 5415.17) | 1738.20 (1386.98, 2089.43) |
| 2038 | 796.08 (687.62, 904.55) | 642.64 (549.82, 735.46) | 265.74 (207.74, 323.73) | 111.07 (86.82, 135.33) | 4497.98 (3530.39, 5465.58) | 1698.95 (1341.77, 2056.14) |
| 2039 | 800.02 (686.81, 913.23) | 646.39 (549.45, 743.32) | 265.93 (205.68, 326.18) | 108.55 (83.94, 133.16) | 4508.04 (3499.78, 5516.29) | 1659.95 (1297.51, 2022.40) |
| 2040 | 803.86 (685.90, 921.81) | 650.05 (549.00, 751.11) | 266.17 (203.67, 328.67) | 106.03 (81.11, 130.96) | 4518.48 (3469.27, 5567.69) | 1621.28 (1254.21, 1988.35) |
| 2022–2040 EAPC (95% CI) | 0.73 (0.56, 0.91) | 0.57 (0.42, 0.72) | 1.41 (1.05, 1.77) | 0.51 (0.16, 0.85) | 0.99 (0.70, 1.27) | –0.09 (–0.37, 0.19) |
[i] EAPC: Estimated annual percentage change, CI: Confidence interval, DALY: Disability-adjusted life years.
Figure 3
The temporal trends in the age-standardized rates for incidence, mortality, and DALY of ischemic heart disease from 1990–2021 and projections from 2022–2040 in China, stratified by gender. (A) The temporal trends in the age-standardized incidence rate of ischemic heart disease from 1990–2021 and projections from 2022 to 2040 in males. (B) The temporal trends in the age-standardized incidence rate of ischemic heart disease from 1990–2021 and projections from 2022 to 2040 in females. (C) The temporal trends in the age-standardized mortality rate of ischemic heart disease from 1990–2021 and projections from 2022 to 2040 in males. (D) The temporal trends in the age-standardized mortality rate of ischemic heart disease from 1990–2021 and projections from 2022 to 2040 in females. (E) The temporal trends in the age-standardized DALY rate of ischemic heart disease from 1990–2021 and projections from 2022–2040 in males. (F) The temporal trends in the age-standardized DALY rate of ischemic heart disease from 1990–2021 and projections from 2022–2040 in females. DALY: Disability-adjusted life years.